Global Warming
I presented a paper entitled “Time Series Analysis of Global Warming Data” at the International Symposium on Forecasting in June of this year. http://forecasters.org/submissions10/ANDRESFREDISF2010.pdf Our conclusion was that it is uncertain whether or not reducing CO2 will reduce temperature. Essentially, we’re saying that the Gospel according to Al Gore is wrong. This has major policy implications. Specifically, it implies that cap and trade has a good chance of being a waste of money.
Coming Soon
We will be offering an Excel regression add in. It has three large advantages over Excel’s built in regression:
1) The number of independent variables is unlimited.
2) Coefficients can be constrained to be positive or negative.
3) It will optionally do backwards stepwise regression.
IBF
The Institute of Business Forecasting is the best organization for networking with professional forecasters. Check it out at www.ibf.org
Welcome
Welcome to PhredTek. We will post things of interest to the logistics and statistical communities regularly. Your comments are actively solicited.